Covid19 Pandemic

Discussion in 'Reality Check' started by HairyAss, Mar 1, 2020.

  1. HairyAss

    HairyAss
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    Cheese on Toast

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  2. C. Mike Hunt

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    MRW I hear any reference to Trump:

     
  3. dpwu32

    Trash elf

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    I have a feeling it's a combination of the two. Not so much that the testing is garbage, but that they're still being too selective and not testing enough people.
     
  4. 17

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    teenage dirtbag

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    Do they not release the amount of tests they’re doing each day? If they don’t then that’s highly suspicious
     
  5. Wayne

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    They do if you look hard enough for it. Basically they said yesterday our testing numbers are low compared to NS not because they can't test at that rate, but simply the demand isn't there. Sounds like we just have generally avoided widespread transmission and numbers are almost trailed off to zero at this point, so even with all the expanded test criteria, there are few people with basic symptoms even.

    https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/covid-19-coronavirus-pandemic-1.5531388
     
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  6. Boots

    www.reality-check.ca

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    That's awesome.
     
  7. Wayne

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    They just showed lines outside some NS stores, no wonder you guys still have cases. They were barely a foot apart 70 people deep. In NB I have yet to get in a line where the 6 foot difference wasn't adhered to.
     
  8. 17

    17
    teenage dirtbag

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    probably the camera angle

    ive been in many such lines over the last few weeks and everyone keeps their distance pretty well
     
  9. MRA

    MRA
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    Post the pic, could be fake.

    I have not seen any massive lines anywhere except the NSLC in eastern passage, everyone was a good distance apart and lined up through the parking lot down the sidewalk
     
  10. Wayne

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    It was video on the news at 6 pm, seemed legit
     
  11. Cracker

    non-n00b

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  12. Boots

    www.reality-check.ca

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    They should be reporting percentage of positive tests per day, not total positive tests. Having 10 positives when you test 500 people is way different than having 10 positives when you test 1500 people.
     
  13. C. Mike Hunt

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    upload_2020-4-16_8-38-39.png

    Methodology: Today's positives / ((today's positives + today's total negatives) - (yesterday's positives + yesterday's total negatives). Feel free to critique.

     
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  14. C. Mike Hunt

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  15. C. Mike Hunt

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  16. Boots

    www.reality-check.ca

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    net active looking reasonable
     
  17. C. Mike Hunt

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    Well, that was nice while it lasted... :(

    upload_2020-4-18_11-44-33.png

    upload_2020-4-18_11-45-16.png

    upload_2020-4-18_11-45-48.png

    Press release not up yet
     
  18. C. Mike Hunt

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    Still no press release and the website has reverted to yesterday's data. Stand by...
     
  19. Boots

    www.reality-check.ca

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    Tech difficulties maybe?
     
  20. C. Mike Hunt

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    Last edited: Apr 18, 2020
  21. Boots

    www.reality-check.ca

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    Nursing homes are getting hammered. Northwood has 51 residents and 33 staff infected alone.
     
  22. tribeachpunk

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    I see Northwood staff posting on FB that their "Covid isolation area" is at max capacity... they have people who've got it still sharing a room with people who don't..... according to someone claiming to work there...

    Same post said the reinforcements Strang said would be rolled out yesterday, they aren't there yet..
     
  23. PirateSteve

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    Better be prepared for skyrocketing death numbers now.
     
  24. C. Mike Hunt

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    Last edited: Apr 19, 2020
  25. Boots

    www.reality-check.ca

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    They are going to deploy the covid unit to Northwood temporarily
     
  26. C. Mike Hunt

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  27. C. Mike Hunt

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    Second time we've seen a drop in net active and the biggest one-day increase in recoveries. That positive percent though...
     
  28. Boots

    www.reality-check.ca

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    I feel like the long term care home stats should be broken out separately to give us a more accurate picture of the situation
     
  29. C. Mike Hunt

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    Agree. 36 of yesterday's cases were just in Northwood.
     
  30. Boots

    www.reality-check.ca

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    Yep. You can't draw any conclusions if there's one single building that's blowing up the numbers.
     
  31. HairyAss

    HairyAss
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    Disagree. This is the horrid thing about this virus - if it gets into a place like Northwood, it’s going to leave a trail of destruction. It’s for that reason everyone is staying the blazes home. Certainly, in the overall analysis of the numbers, you can acknowledge why spikes occur but you don’t remove the data because it doesn’t line up with what you personally want to measure.
     
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  32. HairyAss

    HairyAss
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    Cheese on Toast

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  33. Boots

    www.reality-check.ca

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  34. C. Mike Hunt

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    Nobody said they were smart.
     
  35. C. Mike Hunt

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